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Abrogation of diplomatic accord

May 09,2018 - Last updated at May 09,2018

President Donald Trump dropped his much anticipated bombshell on the Iranian nuclear deal struck in 2015 between Iran, on one hand, and the US, Germany, France, Russia and China, on the other, by announcing US’ withdrawal from it.

There were speculations that Trump may change his stance on the deal after all the leaders of his Western allies made a last ditch effort to convince Trump not to walk away on the deal, given the fact that there is no evidence that Tehran had not lived up to the letter of the accord, if not its spirit.

On closer look, though, there is a determined effort to put in place a damage control mechanism that would still keep Iran on board in return for the other Western countries' commitment to the deal.

All available evidence suggests that Germany, France, Britain, Russia and China will remain faithful to the deal despite the US withdrawal from it. Under such a scenario, the deal would still be kept alive, albeit without the US involvement or support.

If this is going to be the case, the US abrogation of its commitment to the deal would make little difference at the end of the day, as long as Iran and other parties to the deal remain committed to it.

This would be the most sanguine scenario that could emerge in the wake of Trump's decision to withdraw from the agreement, but this may not last for too long as Iran would be tempted to walk away from it at one stage or another in the future, depending on its national interests.

The parties can buy time for now, but not for the long haul.

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Comments

THE QUESTION THAT I HAVE FOR THE ARAB WORLD IS WHY THEY ARE ONCE AGAIN DRAGING THEIR REGION INTO YET ANOTHER OF ANOTHER STRONG MAN?. YES, IT IS TRUE THAT IRAN IS IN YEMEN AND SYRIA BUT SO ARE MOST ARAB WORLD AND THE WEST ON THE OPPOSING SIDE. IRAN HAS THEIR OWN INTEREST JUST LIKE THE REST OF THE WORLD. HOW MANY COUNTRIES HAS IRAN ATTACKED OR INVADED? THE COMMON LANGUAGE IS THAT IRAN IS SPREADING TERROR BUT NO IRANIAN WAS AMONG THOSE WHO ATTACKED US ON 9/11, THEY DID NOT JOIN THE GROUPS FIGHTING US IN ANY FORM IN THAT REGION. I EXPECTED THIS EDITORIAL TO EQUVOCALLY SAYIN NO AND NOT AGAIN. THE ECONOMIC SUFFERING OF THE JORDANIANS TODAY ARE THE FUNCTIONS OF WARS FROM LEFT AND RIGHT, THE REASONS WHY JORDANIANS ARE PAYING ABOUT $7.000 PER GALLON OF FUEL TODAY SO WHAT ARE THE PEOPLE OF THAT REGION GETTING IN RETURN FROM THESE WARS OTHER THAT STARVATION, DESTRUCTIONS AND FUTURELESS DESTINY FOR THEIR CHILDREN AND GRAND CHILDREN.

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